A VIEW FROM STRAWBERRY CORNER

Premier League – Points per Game and Relegation

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Remaining Fixtures

How often do Newcastle United score 3 or more goals in Premier League games?

Alan Pardew’s attempt to push David Meyler away with his head has distracted from a once-per-season event for Newcastle United – scoring 4 goals in a game.

The table below shows how many times Newcastle have scored 3, 4 or 5+ goals in a game since the 2001/02 season.

Season 3 Goals 4 Goals 5+ Goals League Position
01/02 11 4 1 4
02/03 3 1 1 3
03/04 7 2 0 5
04/05 3 1 0 14
05/06 7 2 0 7
06/07 5 0 0 13
07/08 5 1 0 12
08/09 3 0 0 18
10/11 2 2 3 12
11/12 5 0 0 5
12/13 4 1 0 16
13/14 2 1 1 8
Average 5.0 1.3 0.5

Based on the above table we can see on average Newcastle score:

3 goals in a game 5 times during the course of a season.

4 goals in a game 1 (once) per season.

5+ goals in a game has only occurred 6 times since 2001/02 with 2010/11 being an anomaly where 5+ goals were scored on 3 separate occasions.

(Note; 3 goals = scoring no more than 3 in a game – e.g. 3-1 win)

Newcastle United score:
3 goals approximately every 7.8 games
4 goals approximately every 29.7 games
5+ goals approximately every 74.3 games

@SirDanWilson

Newcastle United – Final 12 Games of the Season

12 games of the 2013/14 season are still to be played. How do Newcastle United fare in this final third?

As shown by the table below, the points per game gained gradually decreases across the season.

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With Newcastle secure in 9th I expect the lower PPG trend in the final third of the season to continue.

Newcastle United After 26 Games

Newcastle United currently sit 9th in the Premier League having accumulated 37 points from their first 26 games.

How does this compare to previous seasons?

Points Position
95/96 60 1
96/97 48 3
97/98 33 14
98/99 34 10
99/00 34 12
00/01 37 10
01/02 55 2
02/03 49 3
03/04 41 4
04/05 31 12
05/06 33 13
06/07 33 10
07/08 28 13
08/09 28 14
10/11 32 10
11/12 43 6
12/13 27 16
13/14 37 9
Average 38 9

The table below puts each season in order of points gained after 26 games:

Seasons In Points Order
Points Position
95/96 60 1
01/02 55 2
02/03 49 3
96/97 48 3
11/12 43 6
03/04 41 4
00/01 37 10
98/99 34 10
99/00 34 12
97/98 33 14
05/06 33 13
06/07 33 10
10/11 32 10
04/05 31 12
07/08 28 13
08/09 28 14
12/13 27 16

The average total of points after 26 games is 38.

The average position after 26 games is 9th.

The 2013/14 season is the 7th best  after 26 games for points and position since the Premier League turned to the 20 team format.

The table below shows the league position after 26 games and 38 games:

26 Games 38 Games
95/96 1 2
96/97 3 2
97/98 14 13
98/99 10 13
99/00 12 11
00/01 10 11
01/02 2 4
02/03 3 3
03/04 4 5
04/05 12 14
05/06 13 7
06/07 10 13
07/08 13 12
08/09 14 18
10/11 10 12
11/12 6 5
12/13 16 16
13/14
Average 9.0 9.5

The graph below shows the change in league position between the 26th and 38th game:

Position Change Between 26th and 38th Games

Position Change Between 26th and 38th Games

Europa League vs. Premier League – Prize Money

Europa League prize money:

20140107-204742.jpg

A side could receive, at best, £8.2m from playing in this season’s competition (2013/14).

Premier League prize money:

20140107-205100.jpg

Financial difference between 16th and 8th is £9,014,000 on the Merit Payment alone.

The Europa League run that Newcastle United went on covered their Merit Payment losses from the following season when they finished 16th.

FA Cup vs. Premier League – Prize Money

If the FA increased the prize money for the FA Cup would managers/chairmen take the competition more seriously?

The prize money for the FA Cup 2013/14 is set out below:

20140103-204813.jpg

Prize Money Run Total:
5th round – £337,500
6th round – £697,500
Semi-Final Loser – £1,147,500
Semi-Final Winner – £1,597,500

The estimated financial return for each Premier League position is set out below:

20140103-210514.jpg

The Premier League winner of the FA Cup will accrue £3,397,500 in prize money.
The Merit Payment awards each Premier League position £1,126,750 more than the one below it.

Winning the FA Cup is the financial equivalent of finishing 3 positions higher in the Premier League based on the Merit Payment alone.

Newcastle United After 13 Games

Newcastle United currently sit 6th in the Premier League having accumulated 23 points from their first 13 games.

How does this compare to previous seasons?

13 games updated 2

Top 5 starts after 13 games of the season:

top 5 starts 3

An earlier piece about why Newcastle should stop playing after 13 games of the season.

 

Newcastle United In December Since 1995/96:

december 2


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